Home > Pasar Internasional > Fokus Tertuju Ke Ukraina

Fokus Tertuju Ke Ukraina

“It may well be that we will end up in a confrontation with Russia. The Americans could not win on the ground there – they can’t possibly that distant from their (military) bases take on the Russian Army in its own backyard. So the conflict would likely go nuclear…. I would be worried about whether we can survive the incompetence and the stupidity of the arrogant and ignorant Obama regime. That’s what the world has to worry about at this moment. Look, whenever you are stupid enough to take a direct strategic threat to a powerful military armed with nuclear weapons, which is what Russia is, you don’t have any sense. And so we have the world being driven by a government that hasn’t got any sense – the United States government. You just don’t do that.”

– former US Treasury official Dr. Paul Craig Roberts

Nico-187

“If anybody is stupid enough to consider fighting Russia, they should just rememberwhat happened to both Napoleon and Hitler. The Russians are not going to be defeated.This isn’t Iraq. This isn’t Colonel Gaddafi in Libya. These are the Russians. They are armed to the teeth, they are technically savvy, and they are not going to give an inch. I don’t believe the politicians or the military would dare threaten to go into any kind of an armed conflict with Russia because if they did, it would be the beginning of World War III.”

– Gerald Celente, founder of Trends Research

 

Dengan persentase voting (suara) 79.09%, di atas suara pemilu presiden AS sejak 1990, maka jajak pendapat mendukung penuh Crimea untuk bergabung dengan Rusia:

  • Jajak pendapat oleh Republican Institute for Political and Sociological Studies yang berbasis di Crimea, dirilis oleh Kryminform
  • 93% dari total pemilih mendukung penggabungan dengan Rusia

Dan Crimea akan segera resmi bergabung ke Rusia:

Crimea’s regional government will make a formal application today to join the Russian Federation, the local pro-Moscow leader said on Twitter after a disputed referendum to break away from Ukraine.

“The Supreme Soviet of Crimea will make an official application for the republic to join the Russian Federation at a meeting on March 17,” Sergiy Aksyonov said in a tweet.

Masyarakat Crimea pun merayakan hal ini, seperti terlihat di gambar berikut:

Nico-188

Namun sayangnya AS sudah mengatakan bahwa dunia tidak akan mengakui referendum dan hasilnya, yang dikatakan penuh “ancaman kekerasan dan intimidasi dari Rusia (melalui intervensi militer) sehingga melanggar hukum internasional.”

Sebuah pernyataan tertulis dari Gedung Putih menyebutkan bahwa aksi Rusia di Ukraina “berbahaya dan mengacaukan.”

Dan AS mendesak negara-negara lain untuk “mengambil langkah dan memberikan sanksi” pada Rusia.

Jadi, begitu Crimea resmi berpisah dari Ukraina dan bergabung ke Rusia yang merupakan kehendak dari parlemen dan masyarakatnya sendiri, hal-hal kasar pun dapat terjadi, karena ini dianggap ekspansi formal Rusia ke wilayah Ukraina yang oleh Barat disebut sebagai proses yang inkonstitusional, sementara Rusia di sisi lain menilai langkah menjatuhkan Yanukovich (dari kursi presiden Ukraina) adalah hal yang inkonstitusional.

Sebelum kita melihat dampaknya ke pasar finansial, Saya ingin menyampaikan salah analisa terbaik yang pernah saya baca belakangan ini mengenai kejadian di Timur dan yang dilakukan Barat terhadapnya.

Ini adalah tulisan dari Byron King, editor dari media the Outstanding Investments and Energy & Scarcity Investor, yang patut Anda simak:

 

Russia Has “Won” in Ukraine

Nico-189“I spent much of last week in Houston at a major energy conference. I spent most of this week up in Toronto at the annual convention of the Prospectors & Developers Association of Canada (PDAC), the world’s largest mining conference.

Along the way, I followed news and spoke with knowledgeable people about Russia and its political-military moves toward Ukraine. I won’t drop names, but the other night I had dinner with a former Canadian ambassador to Russia; and that was after spending an entire afternoon talking with members of the Canadian diplomatic corps who deal extensively with NATO, Russia and nations of the former Soviet Union (FSU).

What does the Russia-Ukraine situation mean to you as an investor? More bluntly, can you make any money here?

First, let’s be candid. Let’s acknowledge something, and it’s critical. That is, with President Putin setting strategy, Russia is rapidly succeeding in its immediate goal of hobbling Ukraine and taking back Crimea.

That is, there is a situation on the ground in Ukraine-Crimea that favors Russia. This situation will not be reversed by any actions from the U.S., NATO or any other power (well, not for a generation or two, if then).

I won’t go deep into discourse, except to say that Russia sometimes produces more history than it can consume. Since the 1700s, Russia has regarded Crimea as critical to its national security. In the days of the Soviet Union, Crimea was a key region for building and projecting naval power.

Nico-190Geographically, nothing has changed over time. From Russia’s perspective, the past 22 years — with Crimea as part of an economically moribund post-Soviet Ukraine — are an historical anomaly. This situation is rapidly ending.

From the Western perspective, the unfolding Russia-Ukraine-Crimea episode is a battle, so to speak, that the U.S. and NATO have already lost. All the political chest-thumping, sanctions, visa restrictions, etc., in the world won’t make any difference to the correlation of forces. Russia’s troops are where they are, and they aren’t leaving.

Sadly — because I really shouldn’t have to explain this — I’ll note an obvious point, but one that’s apparently lost on many senior politicians in the U.S. and elsewhere. In short, Ukraine-Crimea is not a battle that the U.S. or NATO ever should have pretended to join. We’re dealing with geography that’s at the heart of Russia’s “near abroad” and vital to Russia’s national defense. So it’s accurate to say that Ukraine-Crimea is a point of supreme national interest to Russia. Get it? Hey, some people don’t.

Putin and his generals now have “boots on the ground,” with or without Russian insignia on the uniforms. (It’s most likely that soldiers you see on television are Russian special forces — spetsnaz. Plus, Russia has likely organized local militias, under Russian military control. It’s characteristic.)

Here’s the rub. There’s nothing that anyone in Ukraine, the EU, NATO and/or the U.S. can do about Crimea, and probably eastern Ukraine, as this unfolds. Not unless Western political players want to send in tanks and troops, which would doubtless escalate into something very bad, and certainly much worse than what we see. Really, the Russians don’t fool around, let alone back down, on issues like this. They’ll fight.

The quick, determinative lesson in all of this is that hard power trumps soft power every time. Or as a wise old admiral once told me, “Gunboat diplomacy without the gunboats is just small talk.”

Another lesson in all of this is that unfavorable geopolitical events do not just happen out of the blue. This current standoff — and this Western “loss,” if you’re keeping score — has been many years in the making. Russia is responding to two decades of strategic insult and political fecklessness by the West, going back to ridiculous U.S./NATO missteps immediately following the demise of the Soviet Union.

For example, NATO was a post-World War II military alliance created to contain the then-expansionist, aggressive Soviet Union. Yet when the USSR imploded in 1991, NATO remained intact; kept its name; perpetuated its bureaucracy; and, organizationally, expanded eastward to the borders of Russia (think of Latvia, Estonia and Lithuania). From the Russian perspective, it was as if Napoleon were assembling another Grande Armee.

Later, during the first decade of the 2000s, NATO even worked to add Georgia and Ukraine to the ranks. This was utterly intolerable from Russia’s strategic perspective and led to the Russia-Georgia war of August 2008. That short conflict should have been instructive, but apparently, some people just don’t learn.

More recently, the idea of Ukraine as part of NATO has proven to be, basically, the equivalent of Soviet missiles in Cuba in 1962. It’s a casus belli to Russia, clearly, because Russia has moved troops to quell the problem.

Finally, consider that Russia is doing what it’s doing because the West (and certainly the U.S.) has failed to remain militarily pre-eminent in the world. Hold this last thought, because I’ll address it in a moment.

The West — as embodied by its blustering, incompetent, impotent politicians — cannot undo what’s happening in Ukraine-Crimea. Events will unfold in their own way. Russia controls the course of things; it’s “running the table,” so to speak.

Meanwhile, there’s NO vital U.S. national interest in the region. Zero! And certainly, there’s nothing worth going to war over with Russia. And just so you know, Russian war-fighting doctrine has a low threshold for using nuclear weapons. So is the West willing to risk losing London or New York over which apparatchik is the mayor of Sevastopol?

Nico-191In one way or another, the Ukraine situation will resolve. Crimea will likely revert to Russia. Part of eastern Ukraine might also affiliate with Russia.

When the territorial transfers are completed, perhaps Russia will come to a meeting somewhere. The Russian diplomats will allow Western politicians to save a bit of face, perhaps by offering back a few scraps of borderlands here and there. Through it all, Russia will do what’s in its broad interests.

The West has been humiliated. NATO is looking more and more like a paper tiger. The U.S. level of gravitas in the world is in free fall. Our U.S. national leadership — and I mean members of both political parties — look like a ship of fools.
What can the West do for now? Many of the silliest, most big-mouthed politicians ought to collectively resign and make room for a new crop of leadership that’s smarter (we can only hope).

With or without the departure of many current names from the roster, however, there are larger lessons to be drawn from the situation in Ukraine. In other words, the key issue for the future is how nations across the world will in the future resolve territorial-demographic disputes and redraw old maps.

How will the West work things out with Russia? To be sure, it will set a global precedent. Indeed, Ukraine-Crimea will affect how, for example, China goes about expanding its territory at sea, or with India, or how it deals with Japan. In other words, the Ukraine situation is going to echo around the globe for many years to come.

So to sum up, Crimea isn’t really all about Crimea any more. It’s about what protocols the West establishes for other nations with territorial and demographic disputes. This is what’s crucial. Can the West pull something useful out of this pol-mil-dip thrashing?

Looking ahead, it’s time for the U.S./NATO to get serious about the next advances in military technology. For all the money that the U.S. spends on “defense,” much of it goes for salaries, health care and supporting legacy systems. Yet U.S./NATO budgets go down, while, say, China is on a continual investment spree.”

 

What Are The Financial Repercussions?

Para pejabat pemerintahan dan pelaku bisnis Rusia bakal menghadapi sanksi yang menurut Bloomberg akan sama seperti sanksi di Iran.

Jika cadangan devisa asing dan aset-aset perbankan Rusia dibekukan seperti yang diperkirakan, maka Rusia dapat meresponnya dengan melakukan likuidasi besar-besaran obligasi dan cadangan devisanya (dalam denominasi) dolar AS.

Sebagai pembalasan, Rusia dapat mengambil opsi hanya menerima emas untuk pembayaran gas, minyak dan ekspor komoditas mereka lainnya. Inilah yang akan mendorong pelemahan besar dolar AS dan lonjakan harga emas.

Sehingga, perang mata uang pun akan semakin buruk seperti yang saya peringatkan sebelumnya.

Sudah seberapa siapkah Barat, terutama Eropa, melanjutkan hidup mereka jika sepertiga dari gas di Jerman hilang…?

Jika langkah kooperatif sudah tidak bisa dilanjutkan, hal pertama yang menjadi kekhawatiran adalah ekspor gas Rusia ke Eropa.

 

Dan di bawah ini adalah following map from the WSJ, yang menunjukkan seberapa besar mayoritas wilayah Eropa yang bergantung pada ekspor gas dari Rusia:

Nico-192

Selanjutnya pada 14 Maret 2014, James G. Rickards, seorang portfolio manager di West Shore Real Asset Income Fund dan penulis The New York Times untuk buku laris yang berjudul Currency Wars, merilis artikel yang masuk dalam kategori WAJIB DIBACA di The Darien Times mengenai the new balance of financial terror:

“Americans have been galvanized lately at the sight of Russian troops, directed by Vladimir Putin, blatantly occupying the Crimean Peninsula in Ukraine and annexing it as part of Russia.

For those who thought that such brutal tactics were a thing of the past, the Russian invasion of Crimea serves as a reminder that the impulse among autocrats to build empires is alive and well.

For better or worse, there is little the United States can do militarily to change the outcome in Ukraine. As was seen in Hungary in 1956, Czechoslovakia in 1968, and Afghanistan in 1979, when Russia decides to exert brute force in its sphere of influence, the United States can voice support for the victims, but is otherwise unable to intervene except at costs that are too high relative to the national interests involved.

But this does not mean the United States is helpless. No sooner had the Russian invasion become clear than the White House announced the possibility of economic sanctions against Russia. The sanctions have yet to be spelled out completely, but could include freezing personal assets of certain Russian officials and oligarchs and prohibiting certain transactions by United States companies and government agencies with Russian counterparts. By implementing such sanctions, the United States has moved in the direction of a new kind of warfare — not kinetic war involving ships, planes and missiles — but financial war involving cash, stocks, bonds and derivatives. The policy question, and an important question for investors, is how far can this type of financial warfare go and how effective can it be? What will the impact of financial war be on markets in general and investors in particular?

The answer is that such financial warfare tactics will not go very far and will not be very effective. The reasons for this go back to the Cold War doctrine of Mutual Assured Destruction or “MAD.” During the Cold War, the United States had enough nuclear missiles to destroy Russia and its economy and Russia had enough missiles to do the same to the United States. Neither adversary used those missiles and the leaders were quite careful to avoid escalations that might lead in that direction. Proxy wars were fought in places like Vietnam, the Congo and Afghanistan, but direct confrontation between the United States and Russia was never allowed to come to a head. The reason was that no matter how devastating a nuclear “first strike” might be, the country under attack would have enough surviving missiles to launch a massive “second strike” that would destroy the attacker. This is what was meant by “mutual assured destruction” or the balance of terror. Neither side could win and both sides would be destroyed, therefore they went to great lengths to avoid confrontation and escalation in the first place.

In financial warfare between the United States and Russia, a similar balance of terror exists. It is true that the United States has powerful financial weapons it can use against Russia. The United States can freeze the assets of Russian leaders and oligarchs that can be found both in United States banks and foreign banks that do business in dollars. The United States can deny Russian access to the dollar payments system and work with allies to deny Russian access to the SWIFT system in Belgium that processes payments in all currencies, not just dollars. Many of these tactics have, in fact, been used against Iran and Syria in the financial war that has been going on in the Middle East and Persian Gulf since 2012.

But, Russia is not without financial weapons of its own. Russians could refuse to pay dollar-denominated debts to United States and multilateral lenders. Russia could dump the billions of dollars of United States Treasury notes they own thus driving up United States interest rates and hurting the United States stock and bond markets. Most ominously, Russia could unleash its hackers, among the best in the world, to crash United States stock exchanges. On August 22, 2013 the NASDAQ stock market crashed for half a trading day and no credible explanation has yet been offered for the crash. Hacking by Syrian, Iranian or Russian cyber warriors cannot be ruled out. This may have been a warning to the United States about enemy capabilities.

In short, the United States has no interest in intervening in Ukraine militarily and even its economic response will be muted because of new fears of mutual assured financial destruction emanating from Russia and elsewhere. Putin has thought all of this through and has taken Crimea as his prize.

Merely because financial warfare between the United States and Russia will not be allowed to go too far, does not mean that the situation in Ukraine will not impact markets. Stock markets dislike uncertainty of any kind and Russia’s intentions with regard to the rest of the Ukraine outside of Crimea certainly add to uncertainty. Russia’s victory in Crimea may embolden China to assert territorial claims to certain islands in the South China Sea, which will increase tensions with Japan, Korea, Taiwan and the United States.

There is always the possibility of a financial attack being launched by mistake or miscalculation, which could cause events to spin out of control in unintended ways.

Investors may not be able to change this dangerous state of the world, but they are not helpless when it comes to preserving wealth. A modest allocation of investable assets to physical gold will help to preserve wealth in the face of financial war or unexpected catastrophic outcomes.

Gold is not digital, cannot be wiped out by hackers, and is immune to crashing stock markets and bank failures. Russia has increased its gold reserves 70% in the past five years. China has increased its gold reserves over 200% in the same time period. Do they know something you don’t?”

 

Sementara itu, dalam sebuah wawancara dengan King World News (www.kingworldnews.com), Dr. Stephen Leeb menjelaskan pentingnya memiliki emas di tengah kekhawatiran pecahnya perang di Ukraina saat ini:

“I’m focused on geopolitical factors and how desperate the West seems to be to keep this world running.  Every day that goes by there are more signs of desperation.  Putin is giving no sign whatsoever of backing down in Ukraine.  It’s very clear that he is going to annex the Crimea….

He will also make a run at other eastern Ukrainian enclaves where there are a lot of Russians.  I think the United States and Europe are going to be left holding the bag. 

Part of the desperation on the part of the West is because of the fact that Putin has tremendous access to energy resources, whereas the West does and it doesn’t.  The costs of fracking are incredibly high, and the public has no idea about the chemicals that really go into fracking.  Almost every single one of the chemicals that goes into fracking has a negative health effect.

The reason I am suspicious of the government’s motives with fracking is because this is really our only card left to play.  We don’t have any real viable energy resources in the Western world, aside from fracking.  We cannot satisfy demand for energy unless we go to extremes.

We don’t have that much clean groundwater, and without question fracking damages the clean underground water supply.  All of these chemicals are seeping into the ground and every single one of them is a poisonous carcinogen.  So this kind of desperation is not going to work in the long run.  

We are looking at a geopolitical crisis right now where there is no answer — where the West is powerless.  There is a tremendous alliance between Russia and China over natural resources.  What is not making the headlines is the fact that the president of China just had a long conversation with Merkel, Cameron, and Obama.  Did you see that anywhere in the headlines?

I can tell you the nature of that conversation:  The president of China warned the West not to start any trouble.  He also told them not to slap any sanctions on Russia.  Meanwhile, the United States is supporting a Ukrainian regime without legitimacy, which also has extreme Nazi-style support.  One of the biggest concentration camps in World War II was right outside of Kiev.  How does it make any sense for the West to support these thugs, Eric?  The answer is, it doesn’t.

But every day the West is becoming less and less powerful.  So how can we rely on the U.S. dollar to remain as the world’s reserve currency?  How can we rely on the euro to be the second most desirable currency in the world?  It makes no sense, and people are starting to get this message.  This is why gold has bottomed.

The real run in gold, the one that takes us to $10,000, which comes when people realize that ‘the emperor has no clothes.’  Yes, China has problems but they are many steps ahead of us.  Russia also has the right idea.  Today Russians live much freer than they ever did in the past 400 years.

I have a friend who travels to Russia each year.  He is one of the best chess coaches in Russia.  He owns property in Russia, and he knows people all over the country who verify that the country is freer today than it has ever been.  Putin’s popularity within Russia is also higher than it’s ever been.

So this is why the West is acting out of such desperation.  They know the clock is ticking against them and their dominance of the world.  But all of the propaganda in the West is to convince the people that the West is still number one.  This is not true.  The emperor’s clothes are coming off, and the gold market is going to reveal this at some point.

We may have a few more chapters to complete before we see $10,000 gold, but this book will be completed.  And when the book is completed, this world will not be recognizable.  What we are seeing right now is the last gasp effort on the West’s part to show its dominance.

We are literally witnessing history before our eyes.  We are living through a point of inflection and the West is desperate to hold on to what it has but we won’t be able to do it.  The bottom line is the move to $10,000 gold will mark a dramatic shift of power from West to East.  It will also mark the end of Western dominance altogether.”

Terakhir yang tak kalah penting adalah Michael Snyder dari The Economic Collapse Blog yang belum lama ini memberikan peringatan keras implikasi economic war akan cukup jauh, dalam artikelnya yang berjudul Russia + China = Bad News For The U.S.:

“So much for “isolating” Russia.  The Chinese government is publicly siding with Russia on the crisis in Ukraine, and that is very bad news for the United States.  Not only does it mean that the U.S. is essentially powerless to do anything about the situation in Ukraine, it also means that Russia and China are starting to understand how much economic leverage that they really have.  Yes, the Obama administration can threaten to slap “sanctions” on Russia or threaten to kick Russia “out of the G8“, but those actions would not actually hurt too much.  On the other hand, Russia and China hold approximately 25 percent of all foreign-owned U.S. debt, and if they started massively dumping U.S. debt it could rapidly create a nightmare scenario.  In addition, it is important to remember that Russia is the largest exporter of natural gas and the second largest exporter of oil in the world.  And China now imports more oil than anyone else on the planet does, including the United States.  If Russia and China got together and decided to kill the petrodollar, they could do it almost overnight.  So when it comes to Ukraine, it is definitely not the United States that has the leverage.

If China and the rest of the world abandoned Russia over Ukraine, that would be one thing.  But that is not happening at all.  In fact, China has chosen to publicly stand with Russia on this issue.  The following is from a Sky News article entitled “Russia And China ‘In Agreement’ Over Ukraine“…

Russian foreign minister Sergei Lavrov discussed Ukraine by telephone with his Chinese counterpart, Wang Yi, on Monday, and claimed they had “broadly coinciding points of view” on the situation there, according to a ministry statement.

And Chinese state news agency Xinhua is publicly rebuking the West for their handling of the Ukrainian crisis…

China’s state news agency Xinhua accused western powers of adopting a Cold War- like mindset towards Russia, trying to isolate Moscow at a time when much needed mediation is need to reach a diplomatic solution to the crisis in Crimea.

“Based on the fact that Russia and Ukraine have deep cultural, historical and economic connections, it is time for Western powers to abandon their Cold War thinking. Stop trying to exclude Russia from the political crisis they failed to mediate, and respect Russia’s unique role in mapping out the future of Ukraine,” Xinhua wrote in an opinion piece.

Apparently clueless as to how the geopolitical chips are falling, the Obama administration is busy planning all sorts of ways that it can punish Russia

Behind the scenes, Obama administration officials are preparing a series of possible battle plans for a potential economic assault on Russia in response to its invasion of Ukraine, an administration source close to the issue told The Daily Beast. Among the possible targets for these financial attacks: everyone from high-ranking Russian military officials to government leaders to top businessmen to Russian-speaking separatists in Ukraine. It’s all part of the work to prepare an executive order now under consideration at the Obama administration’s highest levels.

Does the Obama administration really want to start an “economic war” with Russia and potentially against China as well?

Considering how much money we owe them, and considering the fact that we desperately need them to continue to use the petrodollar, we stand to lose far more than they do.

This is one of the reasons why I have always insisted that the national debt was a national security issue.  By going into so much debt, we have given other nations such as Russia and China a tremendous amount of leverage over us.

Unfortunately, the debt mongers in Washington D.C. never have listened to common sense.

When it comes to Ukraine, there are other economic considerations as well.

For example, about 25 percent of the natural gas that Europe uses comes from Russia, and Ukraine only has about four months of natural gas supplies stockpiled.

If Russia cut off the natural gas, that would create some huge problems.  Fortunately, winter is just about over or the Russians would have even more leverage.

In addition, Ukraine is one of the leading exporters of wheat and corn on the planet, and a disruption in the growing of those crops could make the emerging global food crisis even worse.

But of course the biggest concern is that the Ukraine crisis could ultimately spark a global war.

Unfortunately, there is a treaty that requires the United States to defend Ukraine if it is attacked…

President Bill Clinton, along with the British, signed in 1994 a nearly forgotten agreement to protect Ukraine’s borders. Ukraine now is appealing to the countries that signed the agreement.

As the British Daily Mail points out, it means that, technically, if Russia were to invade Ukraine, it would be difficult for the U.S. and Britain to avoid going to war.

Given that the late Russian president, Boris Yeltsin also signed it, it was apparent that it wasn’t expected that the Russians would take the action that Putin now is undertaking.

And top Ukrainian politicians are now asking western nations to come to the aid of Ukraine militarily

Ukraine’s former prime minister Yulia Tymoshenko has appealed for the West to adopt ‘strongest means’ to intervene in Russia’s occupation of Crimea if diplomacy fails.

In an interview with CNN’s Christiane Amanpour, Tymoshenko, freed last week after the riots throughout the nation, said if Russia is allowed to ‘take away’ Crimea, life will change ‘practically everywhere in the world.’

She added: ‘Then we have to accept… an aggressor, can violate all the international agreements, take away territories, whenever she likes.’

On the other side, deposed Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych has formally requested that Russia militarily intervene in his nation…

Russia’s U.N. envoy said Monday that ousted Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych asked Russia to send troops to “establish legitimacy, peace, law and order, stability, and defending the people of Ukraine.” Russian Ambassador Vitaly Churkin read a letter from Yanukovych at the U.N. Security Council meeting.

“Ukraine is on the brink of civil war. In the country, there is chaos and anarchy. The life, the security and the rights of people, particularly in the southeast part in Crimea are being threatened. So under the influence of Western countries, there are open acts of terrorism and violence. People are being persecuted for language and political reasons,” the letter said. “So in this regard, I would call on the President of Russia, Mr. Putin, asking him to use the armed forces of the Russian Federation to establish legitimacy, peace, law and order, stability, and defending the people of Ukraine.”

And it is very important to note that Yanukovych would have never issued this letter if the Russian government has not asked him to.

So the stage is set.

Russia has already grabbed Crimea, and it is eyeing other territories in eastern Ukraine.

China is publicly backing Russia, and collectively they have a tremendous amount of economic leverage.

The Obama administration is barking loudly about what Russia has done, but the reality is that the U.S. has very little economic leverage at this point.

What the U.S. does have is the strongest military on the entire planet, but let us hope and pray that Obama does not decide to get the U.S. military involved in Ukraine.  That would be absolutely disastrous.

In the end, the U.S. has no good options in Ukraine.  The Obama administration helped aid and organize the violent revolution that overthrew the Ukrainian government, and now we have a giant mess.

Nobody is quite sure what comes next, but one thing is certain…

The relationship between the United States and Russia will never, ever be the same again.”

Di akhir tulisan ini, agar tetap ceria, berikut saya persembahkan gambar mengenai diskusi Obama-Putin via telepon, yang mungkin saja dialognya sama seperti ini:

Nico-193

h/t @SooperMexican and @LibertyBlitz

Terima kasih sudah membaca dan semoga beruntung!

Dibuat Tanggal 17 Maret 2014

Categories: Pasar Internasional Tags:
  1. No comments yet.